CCMC CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2025-10-23T16:38:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2025-10-23T16:38ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/42035/-1
CME Note: This CME is visible to the east in STEREO A COR2 imagery and may be faintly visible to the southwest in SOHO LASCO C2 imagery. The source is speculative but may be related to an eruption from Active Region 14256 (S16W22) starting around 2025-10-23T15:45Z as seen in GOES SUVI 195/284/304 and STEREO A EUVI 304 imagery.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2025-10-27T13:38Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2025-10-26T13:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 4.0 - 6.0
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)
Prediction Method Note:
https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/42041/1 Model Inputs: 2025-10-23T16:38:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=10.0, Lat.=-5.0, Speed=465.0, HalfAngle=30.0, Time21.5=2025-10-23T23:41Z Model Output: Earth Impact: Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2025-10-26T13:00Z (+- 7 hours) (kp)90=4 (kp)180=6 Other Location(s) Impact: OSIRIS-APEX with esitmated shock arrival time 2025-10-26T10:02Z Solar Orbiter with esitmated shock arrival time 2025-10-25T19:50Z Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251023_234100_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251023_234100_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251023_234100_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251023_234100_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251023_234100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251023_234100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251023_234100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251023_234100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251023_234100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251023_234100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251023_234100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251023_234100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251023_234100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Juice_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251023_234100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251023_234100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gifLead Time: 84.55 hour(s)
Difference: 24.63 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Mattie Anastopulos (M2M SWAO) on 2025-10-24T01:05Z
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